Reuters: EU energy chief plans deepwater drilling ban

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6961AO20101007

Reuters

By Pete Harrison
BRUSSELS | Thu Oct 7, 2010 7:31am EDT
(Reuters) – Europe’s energy chief will next week reiterate his call for a temporary ban on new deepwater drilling for oil until a probe is completed into the causes of BP’s spill in the Gulf of Mexico, a draft document shows.

Guenther Oettinger will propose on October 13 a regulatory clampdown on the offshore oil industry, following the Deepwater Horizon accident, his spokeswoman confirmed.

“The EU has a vital interest in preventing a similar disaster,” said a draft of the proposal seen by Reuters on Thursday.

“The Commission reiterates its call upon the member states to suspend the licensing of complex oil or gas exploration operations until technical investigations to the causes of the Deepwater Horizon accident are completed and the European offshore safety regime has been reviewed,” it adds.

Oettinger is expected to say that Europe’s myriad regulations for offshore exploration are too fragmented to cope with an industry that is drilling further and further offshore in deep, rough waters as “easy oil” runs out.

It observes there are more than 1,000 installations in the northeast Atlantic, over 100 in the Mediterranean and plans for new exploration off the coasts of Cyprus and Malta.

“Licensing stands out as the first key tool to ensure the safety of new drillings in complex environments,” says the draft proposal, which would need the approval of the European Union’s parliament and its 27 member countries before taking effect.

“The licensing regime needs to be backed up by an unequivocal liability regime,” it adds.
During licensing, companies would have to prove the ‘safety case’ for each operation and demonstrate the company’s ability to prevent and deal with crises.

They might also have to prove their financial ability to handle the consequences of unforeseen events, possibly via insurance schemes or risk-coverage instruments.

The Commission will also look at bringing drilling ships under the same rules as offshore drilling rigs.

(Reporting by Pete Harrison) Special thanks to Richard Charter

Wall Street Journal: An Oil-Thirsty America Barreled Into ‘Dead Sea’

October 8, 2010

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704657304575540063579696700.html

By NEIL KING JR. And KEITH JOHNSON

Congress was still convulsed over the Exxon-Valdez oil spill on Dec. 6, 1989, when Shell Oil flashed an announcement that would revolutionize American energy policy: The Anglo-Dutch giant had hit oila lot of oilnearly 3,000 feet below the surface of the Gulf of Mexico.

The bulletin on the Auger Field discovery marked the start of a rush into the Gulf’s deep waters. At the time it looked as if the Gulf might be a magic-bullet solution to America’s energy and national-security needs.

It made nearly everyone giddy. Politicians in both parties offered incentives to boost offshore production. Regulatorsespecially under President Bill Clintoneased rules to support the boom. And oil companies, deploying ever more complex drilling technology, barreled ahead, leaving four administrations scrambling to keep pace.

While environmentalists fought fiercely to prevent offshore oil drilling in places like Californiawhere crude was still being found in shallow watersthey decided to tolerate drilling in the Gulf. One environmentalist dubbed the region a “national sacrifice area.”

So, oil production soared in the Gulf of Mexico, even as it declined elsewhere in the U.S. But safety and environmental regulators never did catch up to the rush there. That lapse culminated with nearly five million barrels of oil spewing into its waters this summer after the April 20 blowout of BP PLC’s Macondo well.

A Wall Street Journal examination of two decades of oil exploration in the Gulf of Mexico, based on government documents and interviews with dozens of politicians and industry officials involved, yields a story with an echo of the recent financial crisis. Both stemmed from collective national drives toward a laudable goallifting the home-ownership rate in one case, and boosting domestic energy production in the otherwith little thought to potential downsides.

Former Florida Sen. Bob Graham., co-chairman of the president’s oil-spill commission, blamed the BP disaster on what he called “an enormous and shared failure of public policy.” The causes of the spill, he said in recent testimony before the commission, “go back decades and are attributable across the spectrum to government, to industry, to the White House, to Congress, to Republicans, to Democrats.”

Now, in the wake of the spill, people across the political spectrum are drawing different lessons from it. The Obama administration has halted deep-water drilling off the entire U.S. while it ponders tougher regulations. Republicans and many Gulf-area Democrats call that overkill. They say offshore drilling should be resumed immediatelyboth to boost domestic energy production and to provide badly needed jobs.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, a vocal proponent of offshore drilling, says the Gulf disaster stemmed from two problems, “one caused by BP and the other caused by the ineptitude” of the government response to contain the spill.

Bruce Babbitt, who headed the Interior Department during the Clinton Administration, thinks the problem goes deeper. Mr. Babbitt says he and other federal officials erred by allowing the industry greater leeway to regulate itself during the 1990s. “The deep-water boom brought a real quantum jump in both the risk and the complexity of the technology involved,” he says. “In retrospect, I should have understood that.”

The pressures to drill deep in the Gulf water aren’t going away. Shell’s newest project sits in 10,000 feet of water, twice as deep as BP’s ill-fated well, and relies on innovations that regulators haven’t even begun to wrestle with.

In late 1989, as Shell pushed into the Gulf’s depths, all eyes in Washington were cast elsewhere. Thirty-four hundred miles to the northwest, the grounding of the Exxon Valdez oil tanker on Alaska’s Bligh Reef that March sent more than 250,000 barrels of oil into Prince William Sound.

The worst offshore oil spill in U.S. history at the time, the mess was epic. Veterinarians had to learn how to anesthetize ottersthe only way to clean oil from their fur. Cleaned beaches turned black again as oil oozed from the rocky sand.

The disaster had another effect: The most sweeping oil-spill legislation in U.S. history passed Congress in the summer of 1990. Given the disaster in Alaska, it focused almost entirely on the perils of transportation, not production. Much of the furious back and forth that summer was about whether to require tankers to have double hulls: The Exxon Valdez had just a single, three-quarter-inch plate of steel. The law ultimately required double hulls. The law also devoted whole sections to protecting the waterways of Alaska, and even laid out restrictions for the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

But with push back from Gulf lawmakers, the law didn’t mention the Gulf of Mexico, which even then provided more than 90% of the country’s offshore oil. The Gulf Coast was the only shoreline outside of Alaska open to oil exploration. In another nod to Valdez, the law capped liabilities for spills in deep-water ports at $350 million, but it sharply lowered the limit to $75 million for accidents occurring further offshore.

“The industry convinced nearly everyone in government that what they were doing was so sophisticated that it was both totally safe and impossible for government to understand, much less regulate,” said California Rep. George Miller, a veteran environmental advocate in Congress. “Government was romanced,” he added. “And it succumbed to the romance.”

Former Democratic Sen. Bennett Johnston of Louisiana, who now lobbies for the American Petroleum Institute, has a different view. “There was never a thought that we were sacrificing safety,” he said. “Everyone involved, from the regulators to the companies themselves, agreed that [offshore drilling] was a safe endeavor.”

By 1994, America was facing an oil crisis. The U.S. was pumping well under half the country’s daily needsjust 6.6 million barrels a dayand importing the rest from around the world.

Nowhere was the production decline more ominous than the Gulf. Production off Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi had fallen by 20% in just five years.

“The gulf was becoming a dead sea,” says Allen Verrett, a veteran petroleum engineer who currently heads the industry’s offshore operators committee. “In the shallow waters, all the elephants were gone, and we were pursuing field mice.”

Shell Oil, the independent U.S. affiliate of Royal Dutch Shell, thought there still might be big game in the Gulfif it could reach it without breaking the bank. Compared to the far simpler standards of shallow water, drilling for oil in over 1,000 feet of water was expensive and complicated.

In April 1994, Shell opened the spigots on the deepest well ever drilled in the Gulf of Mexico, 2,860 feet below the surface of the ocean at its Auger Field, about 140 miles off the coast of Louisiana. Auger was more than just a single project. Shell’s U.S. branch was betting its future on deep-water output in the Gulf.

The drilling job was a tour de force, requiring what was then new technology: a floating platform hovering above the seabed. More than 900 companies were involved in its construction. Shell had to develop remote vehicles to work at such depths.

The billion-plus-dollar project didn’t look like a financial winner in the early days. Oil was cheap, $16 a barrel, meaning Auger’s first two wells had to produce about 8,000 barrels a day each. The first managed barely 2,000; the second, even less.

“I was looking in the mirror and saying, ‘Did we just blow a billion dollars?'” recalled Rich Pattarozzi, then Shell’s general manager of deep-water exploration and production.

By June, engineers thought they had the problem licked. In drilling the well, calcium phosphates had clogged the reservoir. So they blasted the deposits with hydrochloric acid.

“They came in one day and said, ‘We’re at 8,000 barrels,’ and we all said, ‘Thank God,'” recalled Gordon Sterling, who worked for Mr. Pattarozzi as manager of major projects for Shell’s deep-water division. The wells soon topped 10,000 barrels a day. By the late 1990s, the entire field was pumping more than 100,000 barrels a day, making Auger the best producer in the Gulf at the time.

The oil industry wasn’t alone in fretting about the costs of offshore exploration. So were many of President Clinton’s energy officials and the president himself.

Concerns over energy security soared in the mid-1990s as national production continued to slump. The U.S. reliance on imported oil had been driven home a few years earlier by the Iraq-Kuwait war, which raised fears of a supply rupture.

In a meeting with 75 oil-state lawmakers in June 1994, Mr. Clinton showed a willingness to help the industry that astonished many in the oil patch. His message: So long as it didn’t increase the federal deficit, he was open to a range of tax incentives to spur deep-water exploration. Boosting output, Mr. Clinton told the lawmakers, was a matter of national security.

After the Republican takeover of Congress that November, the president got what he wanted. On Nov. 28, 1995, he signed the Deepwater Royalty Relief Acta move the White House promised would “unlock an estimated 15 billion barrels of oil in the central and western Gulf of Mexico.”

Companies typically paid around 12% of all oil produced in royalties to the U.S. Treasury. But the relief act waived payments for the initial productionand the deeper the project, the better the royalty relief. An industry publication praised Mr. Clinton “as the new champion of the exploration sector.”

Seismic crews fanned out across untested waters, gaining new imagery of the reservoirs below. The number of new deep-water leases soared, topping 1,200 in 1997, compared with 326 the year the law passed. The “dead sea” was rebounding.

For federal regulators at the Minerals Management Service, the Interior Department agency in charge of overseeing domestic oil production, the question became: How to keep abreast of this boom without hindering it?

The MMS decided it made little sense to develop new rules given the swift changes in drilling technology. Instead, MMS let the industry establish its own “best practices,” which regulators would oversee.

For decades, oil companies have used massive devices called blowout preventers to shear through pipes and seal wells in a disaster. One of the reasons for the BP spill this summer is that the final fail-safe on its blowout preventer, the so-called deadman switch, failed to work.

In January 1997, MMS said companies needed to test their huge undersea blowout preventers every two weeks, instead of the previous requirement for weekly tests. The shift, pushed by the industry, would save companies around $25 million a year, MMS estimated.

In the five years after the Clinton White House unleashed new exploration, deep-water production shot up fivefold to 742,000 barrels a day. Despite the boost in Gulf oil and gas production, overall U.S. production continued its precipitous slide. That, in turn, led to an even-greater focus on boosting output from the Gulf during the Bush Administration.

In May 2001, when an energy task force commissioned by Vice President Dick Cheney released its final report, domestic producers were churning out just 5.8 million barrels a day, little more than half of peak production in 1970 and just 30% of U.S. oil consumption.

In 2005, President George W. Bush signed a sweeping energy bill designed to nudge the country in a new direction, with a focus on nuclear power and alternative fuels. But the $12 billion bill fit a familiar pattern. Conservation groups thwarted oil-industry efforts to pry open Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, the eastern Gulf of Mexico near Florida, and the Atlantic and Pacific coasts. Oil companies, meanwhile, won more incentivesaround $2 billion in allto seek additional oil and gas in the remote pockets of the Gulf.

“The central and western Gulf had basically become a national sacrifice area,” said Richard Charter, a senior advisor for the environmental group Defenders of Wildlife who has been working on offshore issues for decades.

The quest for more offshore drilling found its ultimate spotlight on Sept. 3, 2008, during the Republican National Convention in St. Paul, Minn., when hundreds of delegates joined in a chant of “Drill, baby, drill.”

A day later, the party’s presidential nominee, Sen. John McCain, picked up the torch. “We will drill new wells offshore, and we’ll drill them now,” he pledged. At issue was a federal ban on offshore production in most areas, except for the central and western Gulf of Mexico and some parts of Alaska. A congressional ban, in different forms, dated back to 1981. A presidential ban was first ordered by George H. W. Bush in 1990. That double whammy kept about 85% of America’s offshore oil and gas resources off-limits.

Until crude oil starting climbing in price, the ban wasn’t a big political issue. Sen. McCain had long supported it, but hinted early in his 2008 presidential campaign that he might back opening up some promising areas offshore. But when crude in February 2008 settled above $100 a barrel for the first timedriving gasoline prices above $4 a gallonthe energy issue threatened to overshadow two wars, terrorism and early troubles at investment banks in New York.

Boosting energy production became a centerpiece of Sen. McCain’s campaign. Those in charge of regulating the continental shelf were equally gung-ho. “Gas doesn’t come from gas stations,” said Randall Luthi, then the head of the MMS, in July. President Bush moved first, waiving the executive ban on offshore drilling in mid-July of 2008, the day oil hit its all-time high. “Now the ball is squarely in Congress’s court,” he said.

Congress, controlled by the Democrats, wasn’t about to lift its ban on offshore drilling, however. Democrats argued oil companies were sitting on millions of idle acres. Sen. Barack Obama argued all summer that offshore drilling wouldn’t solve the energy crisis. That stance became a liability. In July, Sen. McCain ran what his campaign called “The Pump” advertisement for the first time. Set against twirling numbers at a gas pump, the voice-over asked: “Who can you thank for rising prices at the pump?” Cheers of “Obama, Obama, Obama” followed.

Within weeks, as support for increased drilling grew, Mr. Obama tempered his opposition. He said in early August he would support “carefully circumscribed” drilling if it was part of a “comprehensive” energy plan.

In late September, the congressional ban on offshore drillingthe last obstacle to more productionfell by the wayside. Congress declined to renew the moratorium. For the first time in a generation, America’s coasts were fair game for exploration.

At the end of this March, after months of public hearings and testimony, and less than three weeks before the Deepwater Horizon burst into flames, President Obama put forward a plan to expand drilling off the Atlantic Coast. He praised the industry’s offshore safety record in defending his decision.

The White House said Mr. Obama’s offshore policy was carefully calibrated, although it acknowledges the Deepwater Horizon spill exposed weaknesses that now need to be fixed.

The pressure to keep finding more offshore oil isn’t going away. Rep. Doc Hastings, the senior Republican on the House Natural Resources Committee, says Americans haven’t forgotten the gasoline prices of two years ago. He believes that memory will prove at least as strong as the BP spill when it comes to offshore drilling. “Four-dollar gas still resonates with the American people,” he says.

Write to Neil King Jr. at neil.king@wsj.com and Keith Johnson at keith.johnson@wsj.com

Special thanks to Richard Charter

Bureau of Ocean Energy Managements, Regulation & Enforcement (BOEMRE) Begins Review, Invites Public Comment on Categorical Exclusions

http://www.boemre.gov/ooc/press/2010/press1007.htm

October 07, 2010

I would love to see a categorical exclusion for any new or expanded offshore oil drilling. Think of it; if the same investment was put into renewable energy, the long term sustainability would far outweigh the short term gain of more rigs. DeeVon

WASHINGTON – The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement (BOEMRE) today announced that it is initiating the public comment stage of its review of its use of categorical exclusions (CEs) for decisions regarding energy development on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS).

Consistent with recommendations provided by the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ), BOEMRE announced on August 16, 2010, that it would undertake a review of its use of categorical exclusions to ensure that its policies are in full compliance with the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). During the period in which BOEMRE is conducting its review, Director Michael R. Bromwich has directed the agency to restrict its use of categorical exclusions for offshore oil and gas development to activities involving limited environmental risk. More information can be found at:

http://www.doi.gov/news/doinews/Categorical-Exclusions-for-Gulf-Offshore-Activity-to-be-Limited-While-Interior-Reviews-NEPA-Process-and-Develops-Revised-Policy.cfm.

“BOEMRE is committed to strengthening our oversight responsibilities and making decisions that fully consider the potential environmental impacts,” Director Bromwich said. “We will ensure compliance with NEPA as we re-examine the types of environmental reviews required for offshore operations.”

CEQ regulations (40 C.F.R. § 1508.4) define “categorical exclusion” as a category of actions that do not individually or cumulatively have a significant effect on the human environment; which have been found to have no such effect in procedures adopted by a federal agency in implementation of these regulations; and for which neither an environmental assessment nor an environmental impact statement is required.

BOEMRE is inviting the public as well as federal, state and local government agencies, and other interested parties to comment on the appropriate use of and suggest revisions to existing BOEMRE CEs, and to highlight issues that BOEMRE should address during the review. The notice is available in the Federal Register’s “Reading Room” at: http://www.ofr.gov/inspection.aspx. It will be published on the Federal Register tomorrow.

The public is invited to submit comments no later than November 8, 2010, (30 days after publication) in one of the following ways:

1. For written comments, please label your submission “Comments on the Review of Categorical Exclusions for Outer Continental Shelf Decisions” and mail (or hand carry) to James F. Bennett, Chief, Environmental Assessment Branch, Environmental Division (MS 4042), Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement, Headquarters, 381 Elden Street, Herndon, VA 20170.

2. To submit electronic comments, go to http://www.regulations.gov. In the entry titled “Enter Keyword or ID,” enter docket ID BOEMRE- 2010-0036, then click search. Follow the instructions to submit public comments and view supporting and related materials available for this collection.
The full CEQ review of BOEMRE (then-MMS) NEPA procedures can be found at: http://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/eop/ceq/initiatives/nepa/mms-review
.
Special thanks to Richard Charter

New York Times: Obama Admin Says New Offshore Safety Rules May Delay Oil Drilling, Raise Gas Prices

http://www.nytimes.com/gwire/2010/10/08/08greenwire-obama-admin-says-new-offshore-safety-rules-may-19250.html

Greenwire

By KATIE HOWELL of Greenwire
Published: October 8, 2010

The Obama administration is acknowledging that its new offshore drilling safety regulations will raise costs for the oil and gas industry — and may also delay some offshore development, slightly increase gas prices and kill some jobs.

The new rules unveiled last week would increase operating costs by an estimated $1.42 million for each new deepwater well drilled with a floating rig, $170,000 for each new deepwater well drilled with a platform rig and $90,000 for each new shallow-water well, according to an Interior Department notice released yesterday.

Interior says the cost of compliance with the new rules is “not an insignificant amount” but would add on less than 2 percent of the cost of drilling a well in deep water and 1 percent for shallow-water wells. Typical deepwater wells drilled with floating platforms usually cost about $90 million to $100 million, Interior says in the notice to be published next week in the Federal Register.

“The rule does have an effect on energy supply, distribution, or use because its provisions may delay development of some OCS oil and gas resources,” the notice says. “The recurring costs imposed on new drilling by this rule are very small (2 percent) relative to the cost of drilling a well in deepwater. In view of the high risk-reward associated with deepwater exploration in general, we do not expect this small regulatory surcharge from this rule to result in meaningful reduction in discoveries.”

But the cost of compliance could cause a slight increase in oil and gas prices and could drive up U.S. dependence on foreign oil, the notice says, although not enough to affect world markets. It could also lead to job losses at the more than 130 companies that own active leases in federal waters and more than a dozen drilling contractors and their suppliers.

“A meaningful increase in costs as a result of more stringent regulations and increased drilling costs may result in a reduction in the pace of deepwater drilling activity on marginal offshore fields, and reduce investment in our domestic energy resources from what it otherwise would be, thereby reducing employment in [outer continental shelf] and related support industries,” Interior’s notice says.

But those negative risks are worth it, Interior says, and environmentalists agree. “The measures codified in this rule will reduce the likelihood of such an event in the future, at a cost that is not prohibitive, and therefore this rulemaking is justified,” the rule says.

But industry says the increased cost of compliance could be tough for smaller operators to bear.
“When you look at this issue of increased compliance cost, increased regulation coupled with discussions of unlimited liability … all make, certainly, some amount of uncertainty for our producers, if not flat-out stop them. They’ll have to take a very serious look at whether to continue operating in the Gulf of Mexico,” said Dan Naatz, vice president of federal resources at the Independent Petroleum Association of America. “Will it stop activity in the Gulf? I’m not saying that, but it certainly will make us take a serious look.”

Interior, too, says smaller producers could be negatively affected by the increased compliance costs, but that the brunt of the increased costs will be borne by larger companies.

“The overwhelming share of the cost imposed by these regulations will fall on companies drilling deepwater wells, which are predominantly the larger companies,” the notice says. “In fact, 90 percent of the total costs will be imposed on deepwater lessees and operators where small business only hold 12 percent of the leases.”

Interior says the economic effect on small businesses will be analyzed more thoroughly in a separate analysis.

The American Petroleum Institute, the industry’s main trade group, is still reviewing the details of the new rules but warned against implementing new regulations that could stifle the domestic oil and gas industry.

“There has to be a clear, practical and certain process for project review that will protect the environment,” API’s upstream director Erik Milito said in an e-mailed statement. “We cannot have an approval process that creates unpredictable delays that could place at risk the flow of domestic energy in our country.”

Interior is imposing the new rules in the wake of this summer’s oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. The drilling safety rule will take effect immediately once it is published in the Federal Register on Thursday.

It details the cementing, casing and drilling fluid procedures that drillers should use in order to maintain wellbore integrity while drilling. It also strengthens oversight of equipment, like blowout preventers, used to shut off the flow of oil and gas.

Interior is also imposing a rule on workplace safety that will take effect next Friday.

Special thanks to Richard Charter

National Wildlife Federation: Scientist Finds Deadly Effects of Dispersant Used in Gulf Oil Disaster


Dr. Goodbody-Gringley points out baby Montastraea

http://blog.nwf.org/wildlifepromise/2010/10/scientist-finds-deadly-effects-of-dispersant-used-in-gulf-oil-disaster/

from Wildlife Promise
10/8/2010 // Bob Serata //

In the cramped lab at Mote Marine Laboratory’s Tropical Research Lab on Summerland Key in the Florida Keys, Dr. Gretchen Goodbody-Gringley and her team saw firsthand the effects of Corexit 9500 chemical dispersant on the settlement and survival of coral larvae. It wasn’t pretty.

Two corals were selected for the experiments: mustard hill coral (Porites asteroides), and mountainous star coral (Montastraea faveola).

Montastraea is of particular interest because it is one of the corals that populates the Flower Garden Banks National Marine Sanctuary (NMS) located in the northwestern Gulf, an area close to the BP oil spill. But both corals can be found throughout the Florida Keys NMS which was spared a direct hit and is the subject of much “what if” research.

“We chose the mustard hill because it is a brooder,” said Goodbody-Gringley. “It goes through internal fertilization and releases mature larvae into the water so the larvae are presumably able to settle and start forming into adult colonies immediately after release.”

“Star coral is a broadcaster. It releases sperm and eggs into the water column which then fertilize and the larvae develop in the water. Broadcasters are generally thought to be more fragile than the brooders because larvae have to develop in the water, so they’re exposed to the elements,” she said.

The team used concentrations of Corexit set by an independent panel of scientists who work with the EPA to determine ecologically relevant concentrations of the chemical — the concentration in sea water as days and months pass.

One experiment measured the settlement (larvae settling on a substrate to start growing) and survival (still living in the water column) of coral larvae after exposure to oil, oil-plus-dispersant and dispersant-alone.

“In both the oil-plus-dispersant and the dispersant-alone samples survival and settlement were extremely low,” said Goodbody-Gringley. “In fact, in the high concentrations that we used [to mimic the early days of an oil spill] we had 100% mortality,” she added.

A separate experiment was designed to mimic the effects of an oil spill and response with dispersant on coral larvae in the water column. A time frame of five days was used to represent the normal longevity of coral larvae in the water column. Water was added to the initial concentration each day to correspond to the continued dilution of the chemical. Measurements were then taken at the end of the five day period.

“These results actually mirrored the settlement results,” said Goodbody-Gringley. “We found lower survival in the presence of oil and much lower survival in the presence of dispersant.”

Pressed for exact percentages of mortality, Dr. Goodbody-Gringley would only say “extremely high.” About survival rates she said, “extremely low.”

The experiments are still proceeding through analyses in preparation for submission to peer review, which is why Dr. Goodbody-Gringley hesitates to quote actual numbers. The paper is expected to be submitted within a month or two, though (if accepted) might be published sometime in 2011.

“The survival of larvae is particularly important because this is the one time in the coral’s life when a new coral will be formed,” she said. “Without this critical stage a reef can’t maintain itself. Eventually the reef would die if there is no reproduction happening.”

Special thanks to Erika Biddle.

"Be the change you want to see in the world." Mahatma Gandhi