{"id":3410,"date":"2012-01-17T23:04:17","date_gmt":"2012-01-17T23:04:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/?p=3410"},"modified":"2012-01-17T23:04:17","modified_gmt":"2012-01-17T23:04:17","slug":"energy-environment-scientists-chart-new-path-for-deepwater-horizon-plume","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/2012\/01\/17\/energy-environment-scientists-chart-new-path-for-deepwater-horizon-plume\/","title":{"rendered":"Energy &#038; Environment: Scientists chart new path for Deepwater Horizon plume"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Voosen, E&#038;E reporter<br \/>\nPublished: Tuesday, January 10, 2012<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s the most tangible intangible disaster of the past decade.<\/p>\n<p>Following the undersea blowout of the Deepwater Horizon two years<br \/>\nago, a majority of the oil and gas escaping from the rig&#8217;s out-of-<br \/>\ncontrol well never surfaced. Instead, it flowed in a diffuse layer to<br \/>\nthe southwest, thousands of feet below sea level. Largely invisible,<br \/>\nthis snaking &#8220;plume&#8221; nevertheless entered the imaginations of<br \/>\nmillions of people &#8212; at least until its demise to the Gulf&#8217;s vast<br \/>\nsize and a host of hungry microbes.<\/p>\n<p>A compelling image &#8212; but it never happened. At least, not the way<br \/>\nscientists imagined.<\/p>\n<p>Rather than flowing in a tidy path to the southwest, pulled along by<br \/>\na steady current, the Deepwater Horizon plume was a mess of swirl and<br \/>\nslosh. Virgin water exposed to the spill, rather than whisking away<br \/>\npermanently, would return after weeks, carrying with it microbes<br \/>\nalready primed to chew hydrocarbons, according to a study published<br \/>\nyesterday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.<\/p>\n<p>The study presents a unified theory of the plume, its model results<br \/>\nmatching many of the often contradictory observations made by<br \/>\nscientists during the first months of the spill. Understanding the<br \/>\nbathtub circulation of the Gulf of Mexico suddenly sorted these<br \/>\nfindings into a comprehensible whole, said Dave Valentine, the<br \/>\npaper&#8217;s lead author and a microbial geochemist at the University of<br \/>\nCalifornia, Santa Barbara.<br \/>\n  Click here to watch Dave Valentine&#8217;s model of the Deepwater Horizon<br \/>\n  plume, matched against observations recorded during the accident.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>  <iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Dynamic auto-inoculation and the microbial ecology of a deep water hydrocarbon irruption\" width=\"474\" height=\"356\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/WQqB0woyu6M?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s no perfect way of explaining something as amorphous and<br \/>\never-changing as this was,&#8221; he said. It is almost irreducibly<br \/>\ncomplex, he added. &#8220;It&#8217;s almost like an enclosed bay. It&#8217;s not a<br \/>\nsimple current where things move from point A to point B.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Valentine study comes at a crucial time for Gulf research. A<br \/>\ngovernment study published last month confirmed that nearly half of<br \/>\nthe oil &#8212; and almost all of the gas &#8212; released from the BP well<br \/>\nlikely remained trapped in deep waters. In all, some 33,000 barrels<br \/>\nof oil a day remained in the deep, the study found, an estimate in<br \/>\nline with a chemical study of the oil&#8217;s fate also released yesterday.<\/p>\n<p>Folding these mature estimates of the released oil, along with<br \/>\nevidence of microbial degradation, into a plausible theoretical<br \/>\nframework is essential to the government&#8217;s ongoing investigation of<br \/>\nthe spill&#8217;s environmental damage, according to NOAA Administrator<br \/>\nJane Lubchenco, who found time from her high-profile job to edit<br \/>\nValentine&#8217;s study.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These results may help us better understand the variability in the<br \/>\nrapid rates of hydrocarbon consumption by bacteria in the plume, as<br \/>\nobserved by several groups of researchers,&#8221; she said in a release to<br \/>\nGreenwire, &#8220;while our scientists continue to examine the impacts of<br \/>\nthe Deepwater Horizon spill on the Gulf ecosystem.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This is not Valentine&#8217;s first foray into the plume. Previously, his<br \/>\nwork uncovered the large amount of gas that remained trapped<br \/>\nunderwater during the spill (Greenwire, Sept. 17, 2010). Valentine<br \/>\nalso found that, much to his amazement, the recalcitrant methane had<br \/>\nvanished, degraded by bacteria, during a follow-up cruise in the<br \/>\nearly fall (Greenwire, Jan. 7, 2011).<\/p>\n<p>Scientists who studied the plume found Valentine&#8217;s model convincing.<br \/>\nWhile it did not match every observation perfectly, and its<br \/>\nresolution was somewhat coarse, those are simply improvements that<br \/>\ncan be made on what seems like a foundational step.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Their approach is holistic and does an excellent job of explaining<br \/>\nlarge-scale patterns observed in the Gulf of Mexico following the<br \/>\nspill,&#8221; said John Kessler, a chemical oceanographer at Texas A&#038;M<br \/>\nUniversity and one of the plume&#8217;s chief researchers.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is probably a slam-dunk understanding of how the plume worked,&#8221;<br \/>\nadded Chris Reddy, a chemist at the Woods Hole Oceanographic<br \/>\nInstitution. &#8220;The plume activity is a lot more complicated than we<br \/>\nreally thought.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Shaping perceptions<\/p>\n<p>Reddy was part of the Woods Hole team that, early on, helped shape<br \/>\nperception of the plume with a report published in Science the month<br \/>\nafter BP&#8217;s well was capped (Greenwire, Aug. 20, 2010). They described<br \/>\nwhat seemed like a diffuse cloud of hydrocarbons &#8212; on average, the<br \/>\nplume had a concentration of 1 part hydrocarbon to every million<br \/>\nparts water &#8212; lurking underwater, stretching over an area the size<br \/>\nof Manhattan.<\/p>\n<p>Their view then, and really until Valentine&#8217;s study, was that the oil<br \/>\ncame out of the well &#8220;and took a right-hand turn,&#8221; Reddy said. It was<br \/>\na simplistic idea, in retrospect, he said.<\/p>\n<p>The model helps explain several confounding findings, added Rich<br \/>\nCamilli, the lead author of the Woods Hole study. Their cruise<br \/>\narrived at the Deepwater Horizon site just before warnings of an<br \/>\nincipient hurricane. And while they saw signs of hydrocarbons to the<br \/>\nwell&#8217;s northeast, the lead was not strong enough.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We had limited time on site, limited resources and a hurricane<br \/>\ncoming at us,&#8221; Camilli said with some regret. &#8220;We had to focus our<br \/>\nenergies. And we focused on the southwest because it seemed to be a<br \/>\nbigger signal.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The most important finding from Valentine&#8217;s model was its discovery<br \/>\nof microbial priming, several scientists said. For deep waters not<br \/>\npreviously exposed to the spill, the carbon-hungry bugs followed a<br \/>\npredictable pattern, one species after another blooming to consume<br \/>\nits favored hydrocarbon, said Terry Hazen, the microbiologist who<br \/>\ngained fame by identifying an oil-eating bug feasting on the plume<br \/>\n(Greenwire, Aug. 24, 2010).<\/p>\n<p>In unexposed water, the easiest-to-digest hydrocarbons would go<br \/>\nfirst, Hazen said. To put it in human terms: &#8220;The candy went away<br \/>\nfirst,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Then we got into the meat and potatoes. And then we<br \/>\ngot into the gristle.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This pattern changed once water previously exposed to the spill,<br \/>\nafter sloshing in deep spirals that could stretch for 50 miles,<br \/>\nreturned to the wellhead. Their bibs already on, the host of microbes<br \/>\nbegan eating the candy (propane), meat (alkanes) and gristle<br \/>\n(aromatic hydrocarbons) all at the same time. It was a smorgasbord.<\/p>\n<p>Valentine suspects this priming dynamic happens all the time in<br \/>\nwaters home to oil and gas seeps. But no one has been able to find<br \/>\nit, he said, &#8220;largely because we&#8217;ve never the controlled release<br \/>\n[necessary] &#8212; or in this case, an uncontrolled release.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The layering of old and new water also explains observation<br \/>\ndifferences recorded by the Woods Hole group, Valentine and Samantha<br \/>\nJoye, a biochemical oceanographer at the University of Georgia. Both<br \/>\nthe Woods Hole group and Joye had found similar ratios of propane to<br \/>\nmethane in their samples, while Valentine had contradictory data.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;And Dave is not a hack,&#8221; Reddy said. &#8220;We were going, &#8216;How can we<br \/>\nhave this discrepancy? Our data was solid.&#8217; We used a lot of brain<br \/>\npower trying to figure out why Dave&#8217;s data was different.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Reddy even began giving presentations about the differences between<br \/>\nValentine and Joye&#8217;s data to study confusion about the plume. Then,<br \/>\nfinally, Reddy and Valentine were sitting together on another ocean<br \/>\nresearch cruise, and Reddy remarked, &#8220;Dave, how do we figure out this<br \/>\npropane shit?&#8221; In 30 seconds, Valentine sketched out his new model,<br \/>\nwhere consumption rates would vary with old and new water.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;He really unified theories about the plume,&#8221; Reddy said.<\/p>\n<p>Navy models play key role<\/p>\n<p>That unification could not have happened without some elaborate<br \/>\nmodeling, however, including heavy mathematical lifting by one of<br \/>\nValentine&#8217;s co-authors, Igor Mezic, an engineer at Santa Barbara.<\/p>\n<p>Mezic adapted the Gulf models used by the Navy to keep their gliders<br \/>\nfrom running into the seafloor, adding mixing diagnostics he had<br \/>\npreviously applied to describing the oil&#8217;s movement on the surface.<br \/>\nCombined with the huge amount of data recorded during the spill &#8212; 10<br \/>\ntimes the normal amount &#8212; a model that is typically used for short-<br \/>\nterm predictions becomes far more rigorous.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s an approach that really showed where the action was,&#8221; Valentine<br \/>\nsaid.<\/p>\n<p>The group then seeded the physical model with both the hydrocarbons<br \/>\nerupting from the well and 52 theoretical bacteria types, each tuned<br \/>\nto a different feedstock. Tracking the movement of these bugs, which<br \/>\nincluded exemplars of the microbes previously discovered in the plume<br \/>\nby Hazen and Valentine, revealed how important the microbial &#8220;memory&#8221;<br \/>\nof the plume became after the spill&#8217;s first few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It seems like in the early stages, the first week and first month,<br \/>\nthere were more dramatic swings and blooms of variability, then<br \/>\nthings stabilize a bit,&#8221; Valentine said, thanks to the layered<br \/>\npresence of multiple primed bacteria.<\/p>\n<p>While microbial degradation was an important part of the plume&#8217;s<br \/>\ndemise, that does not mean all of the hydrocarbons were consumed,<br \/>\nValentine added. Oil contains a host of complex chemicals like<br \/>\npolycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, which many bacteria find difficult<br \/>\nto break down. It is quite possible those plume components vanished<br \/>\ndue to the dilution over the Gulf of Mexico&#8217;s vast expanse, rather<br \/>\nthan any bacterial work.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t really know what happened to a lot of that stuff,&#8221;<br \/>\nValentine said.<\/p>\n<p>Special thanks to Richard Charter<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Voosen, E&#038;E reporter Published: Tuesday, January 10, 2012 It&#8217;s the most tangible intangible disaster of the past decade. Following the undersea blowout of the Deepwater Horizon two years ago, a majority of the oil and gas escaping from the rig&#8217;s out-of- control well never surfaced. Instead, it flowed in a diffuse layer to the &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/2012\/01\/17\/energy-environment-scientists-chart-new-path-for-deepwater-horizon-plume\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Energy &#038; Environment: Scientists chart new path for Deepwater Horizon plume<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3410","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3410","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3410"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3410\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3411,"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3410\/revisions\/3411"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3410"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3410"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.reefrelieffounders.com\/drilling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3410"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}